As tensions erupt between Iran and Israel, one might expect the full force of Iran’s regional alliance to come into play. But instead, the so-called “Axis of Resistance” has gone quiet. This silence isn’t just an anomaly—it may be a sign of deeper strategic or ideological shifts within Iran’s regional playbook.
What Is the Axis of Resistance?
Iran’s alliance with Hezbollah, the Houthis, Hamas, and Iraq’s PMF groups has long been central to its regional power projection. These groups act as force multipliers, allowing Iran to strike through proxies while maintaining plausible deniability.
An Unprecedented Pause
In the days following the June 2025 U.S.-Israel strikes, these proxies—typically active and responsive—have remained dormant. The Houthi threat to Red Sea shipping has quieted. Hezbollah’s front is unusually calm. Hamas, depleted and leaderless, has issued only rhetorical responses.
What’s Behind the Silence?
- Strategic Realignment: Iran may be shifting its doctrine from active proxy engagement to cyber, economic, or long-range disruption.
- Proxy Fatigue: After years of sustained conflict, these groups may lack morale or material.
- Command Friction: Possible signs of misalignment or communication breakdown between Tehran and field operatives.
- Fear of Overextension: Iran could be avoiding further provocation to buy time diplomatically or militarily.
Why It Matters
Iran’s power has always relied more on perception than military dominance. If its proxies are no longer willing—or able—to respond, that deterrence model may be unraveling. This also opens space for rival regional powers to assert themselves.
Missed the Timeline?
Catch up on the specific dates and actions (or inaction) here:
Read: The Axis That Didn’t Strike – A Timeline of Proxy Silence
Sources
- Wall Street Journal – “Why Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’ Is Missing in Action“
- New York Post – “Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’ are abandoning the Islamic Republic“
- Washington Post – “With ally Iran under attack, Hezbollah stays out of the fray for now“
- Reuters – “How Iran’s network of Middle East power faded“
- Associated Press – “Why are some key Tehran allies staying out of the Israel-Iran conflict?”
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